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2024-12-13 04:54:52

Zhang Jun, chief economist of Galaxy Securities, believes that it is expected that the Bank of China will cut interest rates and RRR more vigorously next year, and the policy interest rate may be lowered by 40-60 basis points for the whole year, leading the five-year LPR to decline by 60-100 basis points, and the RRR may be lowered by 150-250 basis points for the whole year.New york gold futures rose more than 0.8% and once hit the $2,700 mark. Gold, silver and copper mining stocks generally rose. At the end of Monday (December 9) in new york, spot gold rose by 1.04% to $2,660.52 per ounce, and intraday trading ranged from $2,627.61 to $2,676.43. Spot silver rose 2.81% to $31.8390 per ounce, and was traded in the range of $ 30.8658-31.0727. COMEX gold futures rose 0.86% to $2,682.40 per ounce, and also rose to $2,700.00 at 23:16 Beijing time. COMEX silver futures rose 2.77% to $32.445 an ounce. COMEX copper futures rose 1.40% to $4.2590/lb.AI application storm eye: change and shuffling coexist, and the CAMBRIAN was transferred to the Shanghai Stock Exchange 50 Index, which caused great concern in the market. Recently, most AI concept stocks sought after by funds in the secondary market are facing the challenge of uncertainty such as low revenue. Is this a bubble or a fetal movement on the eve of industrial change? The reporter interviewed a number of people in the industry. Respondents generally recognized the judgment of "AI is not a bubble". At the same time, they believed that the market, represented by large-scale model technology, was entering a rational period, and turned from the "Hundred Models War" to reflect on how to realize the expansion of technical boundaries and promote the commercialization of AIGC. In this process, represented by the agent, large-scale model, multi-scene and singing will support the unprecedented generate of AI application. However, it is undeniable that under the influx of various participants, the competition is becoming increasingly fierce, which also reflects the sharp increase in the commercialization pressure of some practitioners' AI applications. Looking ahead from the new starting line, the big model track is undergoing a transformation from "atomic bomb" to "tea egg", and the shuffling year may start, and some platforms may fade out of the stage. At the same time, upstream industrial chains such as AI chips will also face mountains with long cycle, high intensity and high cost for a long time. Whether it is technology update or cash flow operation, we must be cautious. (Securities Times)


Liu Yu, chief economist of Huaxi Securities, said that the bond bull market is expected to continue in the coming year. Although there is a phenomenon of "rushing to run" near the end of the year, it is still necessary to actively allocate cost-effective bond assets.Hungarian Prime Minister Orban met with President-elect Trump and his DOGE Minister-designate Musk at his Haihu Manor.The market generally expects that the central bank will still have the probability of cutting interest rates in 2025, and the market generally expects that the central bank will still have the probability of cutting interest rates in 2025, and the yield of government bonds in the next 10 years will drop to around 1.8%. Therefore, the "rush to run" behavior of institutions is more obvious, and the yield of 10-year government bonds fell below 2%, challenging 1.9%. From the perspective of many institutions in 2025, the central bank will continue to cut interest rates. Many institutions believe that in this context, the yield of 10-year government bonds will also fall to around 1.8%. (SSE)


The application of AI continues to deepen, and the prosperity of the sector continues to improve. Recently, a number of artificial intelligence companies have intensively released their latest products, and the related concept sectors in the A-share market are active. Wind data shows that Wande's artificial intelligence concept index has risen in six of the nine trading days since November 27, with an interval increase of 12.64%. Analysts believe that overseas AI applications are growing strongly, and the growth potential of domestic AI applications is expected to explode. On the one hand, the performance of the core AI application companies in US stocks has grown rapidly, further strengthening the AI narrative logic; On the other hand, domestic AI application scenarios are more extensive and have achieved good application results in many fields such as education and office. It is suggested to focus on the growth and liquidity of domestic AI applications. (CSI)Lilly approved a $15 billion share repurchase and will raise its dividend.The China ETF rose more than 24% when the three indexes of US stocks collectively closed down three times, while the three indexes of US stocks collectively closed down, with the Dow down 0.54%, the Nasdaq down 0.62% and the S&P 500 down 0.61%. The Political Bureau of the Central Committee set the tone for economic work in 2025, releasing multiple positive signals. China ETF rose by more than 24% and Nasdaq China Jinlong Index rose by more than 8% when China Stock Exchange went on a collective carnival. The sudden change in the political situation in Syria pushed precious metals, and gold and silver mining stocks rose across the board. Cordelian Mining rose by more than 7% and Pan American Silver rose by more than 5%.

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